quarta-feira, 9 de Junho de 2010

More about Beeville


The Beeville story just keeps getting better. In the comments section of yesterday's WUWT post, I got a couple of ideas. First, there is a very interesting site where we can graph adjusted vs. non-adjusted temperatures of GHCN. The first graph above is the result for the Beeville station. A clear difference is visible between adjusted and non-adjusted temperatures, especially during the first half of the XX century. And looking at the blue line does give us an impression that Global Warming might not be happening in Beeville.

Being a skeptic, I searched for the raw data. The monthly data is available at the NOAA site. Got the data for Beeville and plotted the second graph above (click the graphs for better detail). Does anyone see any warming going on? Doing a linear trendline on the monthly data gives us "y = -0.0637x + 829.59", which means that temperatures have gone down! And now, imagine which were the 20 hottest months at Beeville, for the last 113 years:

MonthTemperature (x 10 ºF)
1951/8888
2009/7880
1998/7879
1952/8878
2009/8877
1953/7876
1902/8875
1998/6872
1897/7871
1915/7871
1980/7871
1914/7869
1915/8869
1916/6869
1938/7869
1951/7869
1958/8869
1911/8868
1954/8867
1927/8866

Might Julisa Castillo deserve a prize, after-all?